Like the elephant in the living room that people politely pretend isn’t
there, the topic of travel safety won’t go away even if people won’t
discuss it. We know that it’s still a major concern in many people’s
minds. Here’s look at the current state of travel safety, and how the
events of 9-11 continue to change the face of travel.
Group tours are
morphing into smaller affairs. People rightly perceive that large groups invite more
attention and possible hostility than people traveling solo or in small
groups. The era of busloads of North American or European tourists
alighting at some overseas tourist attraction is ending. Travelers who
can afford it are now looking for tour hosts willing to take on small
groups that will not draw attention. They’re also looking for hosts who
can show them off-the-beaten-path places that are less likely to be the
targets of attacks.
North Americans are
developing a European sensibility about the dangers of travel.
For years, Europeans have routinely traveled despite having to live with
intrusive baggage inspections and the presence of heavily armed soldiers
at their airports and train stations. Europe, with its far more volatile
politics than Canada
or the U.S., has been plagued for years by terrorists of many stripes
who prefer to detonate explosives rather than expound politically
palatable ideas.But because of the heavy presence of security at major
transportation hubs, these groups find it hard to target airports and
railroad depots.
Travelers are dividing the world into places where it is safe to travel
and places where it is not.Given the randomness of much violence, safety is a relative term. But
some countries, by virtue of their size, infrastructure, general lack
of corruption and distance from global hotspots, are statistically far
safer than others. Below are three categories travelers are using to
divide the world into some sensible order. (For terms of this discussion, “First Worlders” means
members of affluent societies that with free market economies and
authentic political democracies: North Americans, Europeans, Japanese,
Taiwanese, South Koreans, Australians and New Zealanders.)
Safe
places include:
The United States
Canada
Europe, with the
exception of some of the Balkan states. Greece has a number of
anti-American terrorist groups that operate with tacit government
tolerance, but attacks on westerners are usually limited to American
diplomatic and military personnel. Northern Ireland,
despite The Troubles, is statistically safer than most U.S. big
cities. The same applies to Basque separatist activity in northern Spain.
Australia and New
Zealand
Japan
South Korea
China and Taiwan
South Sea islands –
Tahiti, Guam, Fiji, New Caledonia
Chile – An
increasingly prosperous state with a rapidly developing economic and
politically democratic infrastructure
Costa Rica – A stable
democratic state that generally likes First World travelers.
Belize – Same as
above.
Cuba – The Marxist
oligarchy here is especially good at social control, thus, few
unpleasant (or authentic) experiences for travelers who do as they’re
told.
Uruguay – They don’t
call it “The Switzerland of South America” for nothing. Not a lot
going on, but a thoroughly courteous, pleasant, easy-going country.
Reasonably
safe to somewhat dangerous places. “Dangerous” here usually means corrupt officials, high crime
or location near a volatile area. Much of the world falls into this
category. If you don’t go blundering into guerilla strongholds, offend
local morals and sensibilities, or sass local authorities, you should
have a nice time.
Philippines – The
southern islands are more prone to activity by Muslim and Marxist
extremists
Mexico – Reasonable
precautions (proper insurance, a knowledge and when and whom to bribe)
can protect against the worst of this country’s endemic corruption
Brazil – The economy
is doing much better, but it takes time for its benefits to filter
down. In the meantime, official corruption and street crime are facts
of life
Peru – Volatile
politics involving Marxist insurgents means some parts of the interior
can be dicey
Argentina – Recent
economic hardships make theft and robbery against affluent people more
likely
All other Latin
American nations (unless mentioned in the category above or below)
Jordan – Though it’s
smack in the Middle East, Jordan has always walked a fairly moderate
line. Though it has (chilly) diplomatic relations with Israel, it also
booted out the PLO in 1970 when Arafat challenged King Hussein’s
sovereignty
Egypt – You pays your
money, you takes your chances. Lots of militancy and anti-Semitism
here in the press and universities, but the authorities are jealous of
their political prerogatives and keep the fundamentalists under a
pretty tight rein
Libya – Col. Khadafy
has been very polite since his near-death experience with U.S. bombs
in 1986. The result is a country that is reasonably receptive to First
Worlders and safe to travel in
Russia – See Brazil
Iran – Most
westerners returning from recent trips to Iran report feeling fairly
safe and well treated there. A U.S. war against Iraq will destabilize
Iran, which could produce a backlash against American travelers by the
increasingly worried theocracy that runs the country
Morocco – Given its
long and usually harmonious association with Europe, this nation is friendly to First Worlders
Turkey – The Muslim
Turks, with their secular state, have no love for Arabic politics or
for political groups that espouse them. Safety concerns here are the
usual in a developing country where clout, not plenty, determines the
distribution of resources
Thailand
Cambodia
India
Vietnam
Most of sub-Saharan
Africa unless mentioned below
Dangerous
to highly dangerous places include:
The Middle East,
especially Israel and Lebanon, and including Syria, Yemen, the
Sudan.
Pakistan
Central Asia –
Afghanistan, Kashmir
Zimbabwe – President
Mugabe’s all-out assault on the rule of law and civil society makes this a
dangerous place for anybody within its borders.
Colombia
Algeria – Militant
Muslim fundamentalists have targeted their own fellow citizens in a
civil war that, like an internal infection, rages just below the
surface. Too much can go wrong here.
Non-sequiturs:
North Korea – Its
control issues make uptight Cuba look like the Burning Man Festival
Burma – Limited
tourism and no real antipathy toward First Worlders who mind their own
political business, but you have to put up with an insular, suspicious
government.
Saudi Arabia –
Tourists not allowed, so don’t bother unless you’re a Muslim making
the haj.